New NASA Data Blow Gaping Hole In Global Warming Alarmism

By James Taylor – Forbes

NASA satellite data from the years 2000 through 2011 show the Earth’s atmosphere is allowing far more heat to be released into space than alarmist computer models have predicted, reports a new study in the peer-reviewed science journal Remote Sensing. The study indicates far less future global warming will occur than United Nations computer models have predicted, and supports prior studies indicating increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide trap far less heat than alarmists have claimed.

Study co-author Dr. Roy Spencer, a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville and U.S. Science Team Leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer flying on NASA’s Aqua satellite, reports that real-world data from NASA’s Terra satellite contradict multiple assumptions fed into alarmist computer models.

“The satellite observations suggest there is much more energy lost to space during and after warming than the climate models show,” Spencer said in a July 26 University of Alabama press release. “There is a huge discrepancy between the data and the forecasts that is especially big over the oceans.”

In addition to finding that far less heat is being trapped than alarmist computer models have predicted, the NASA satellite data show the atmosphere begins shedding heat into space long before United Nations computer models predicted.

The new findings are extremely important and should dramatically alter the global warming debate.

Scientists on all sides of the global warming debate are in general agreement about how much heat is being directly trapped by human emissions of carbon dioxide (the answer is “not much”). However, the single most important issue in the global warming debate is whether carbon dioxide emissions will indirectly trap far more heat by causing large increases in atmospheric humidity and cirrus clouds. Alarmist computer models assume human carbon dioxide emissions indirectly cause substantial increases in atmospheric humidity and cirrus clouds (each of which are very effective at trapping heat), but real-world data have long shown that carbon dioxide emissions are not causing as much atmospheric humidity and cirrus clouds as the alarmist computer models have predicted.

The new NASA Terra satellite data are consistent with long-term NOAA and NASA data indicating atmospheric humidity and cirrus clouds are not increasing in the manner predicted by alarmist computer models. The Terra satellite data also support data collected by NASA’s ERBS satellite showing far more longwave radiation (and thus, heat) escaped into space between 1985 and 1999 than alarmist computer models had predicted. Together, the NASA ERBS and Terra satellite data show that for 25 years and counting, carbon dioxide emissions have directly and indirectly trapped far less heat than alarmist computer models have predicted.

In short, the central premise of alarmist global warming theory is that carbon dioxide emissions should be directly and indirectly trapping a certain amount of heat in the earth’s atmosphere and preventing it from escaping into space. Real-world measurements, however, show far less heat is being trapped in the earth’s atmosphere than the alarmist computer models predict, and far more heat is escaping into space than the alarmist computer models predict.

When objective NASA satellite data, reported in a peer-reviewed scientific journal, show a “huge discrepancy” between alarmist climate models and real-world facts, climate scientists, the media and our elected officials would be wise to take notice. Whether or not they do so will tell us a great deal about how honest the purveyors of global warming alarmism truly are.

James M. Taylor is senior fellow for environment policy at The Heartland Institute and managing editor of Environment & Climate News.


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  • Karen R Rickers

    The writer of this article is from The Heartland Institute, a right wing organization. Be sure to investigate this institute before believing what you read. Where is their funding coming from? Who are they serving? For example, one of the books they’re hawking in their online store is titled “Free To Choose Medicine: How Faster Access to New Drugs Would Save Countless Lives and End Needless Suffering”, making me believe that the pharmaceutical lobby is providing funding. Disturbing to say the least.

  • Kran

    I agree, this is a great article

  • Eagle

    Amazing article, lots of intersting things to digest. Very informative

  • ANON

    Really Good Work…. You Helping People A lot

  • FT

    important information. It’s really useful. Thanks

  • septic

    I am so impressed I had to save it so I continously go back and read things I may have skimmed

  • guy

    phew, thank goodness i thought we were about to die from global warming. At least we only now have to worry about population, food and water…..ahem…anything that gets us away from thinking about the planet that gives us life is a good thing!

  • TeeJae

    Forbes? Really? You’re running an (obviously) anti-climate change article published by a pro-industry rag?

    from its dubious source, the content of this article is a joke. Every
    mention of “computer models” includes the word “alarmist” in front.
    Biased much, Forbes? Further, it focuses solely on CO2 but says nothing
    of the (much worse) effects of methane. AND… the article’s author –
    James M. Taylor – is a senior fellow at the Heartland Institute – a well
    known defender of the tobacco industry and climate change denying think

    Wake Up World, I’m highly disappointed in you for republishing this garbage. You have lost credibility with me.